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American Odds Explained 2026 — How to Read +150 and -200 and Convert Them to Implied Probability

How American odds work: what +150 and -200 mean, how much you win on $100, and the formulas to turn any moneyline into implied probability.

By Redacción Scorely · Last updated:

At a glance

Minus odds (-200)How much you stake to win $100
Plus odds (+150)How much you win on a $100 stake
Implied probability, minus odds|odds| ÷ (|odds| + 100)
Implied probability, plus odds100 ÷ (odds + 100)
Standard -110 line52.38% implied; you need to win more than that to profit

American odds (also called moneyline odds) tell you two things at once: who the sportsbook thinks is the favorite, and how much you win per $100. A minus number like -200 is the stake needed to win $100. A plus number like +150 is the profit on a $100 stake. Every American price also converts into an implied probability with one short formula, and that number is the most useful thing on the screen.

This guide covers how to read both signs, how to work out payouts, how to convert to implied probability and decimal odds, and how to spot the bookmaker's margin. Every figure in the tables was calculated and double-checked with the formulas shown.

What do the plus and minus signs mean in American odds?

The minus sign marks the favorite and the plus sign marks the underdog. With -200, you risk $200 to make $100 profit. With +150, you risk $100 to make $150 profit. Either way your stake comes back too if you win.

The $100 is just a reference point. Payouts scale in a straight line, so a $20 bet at +150 makes $30 and a $20 bet at -200 makes $10.

Odds Stake Profit if it wins Total returned
-300 $100 $33.33 $133.33
-200 $100 $50.00 $150.00
-110 $100 $90.91 $190.91
+100 $100 $100.00 $200.00
+150 $100 $150.00 $250.00
+300 $100 $300.00 $400.00

How do you calculate the payout on American odds?

Profit on plus odds is stake × odds ÷ 100. Profit on minus odds is stake × 100 ÷ |odds|, where |odds| is the number without its sign. Add your stake back for the total return.

Two worked examples:

  • $50 at +150: 50 × 150 ÷ 100 = $75 profit, $125 back.
  • $50 at -120: 50 × 100 ÷ 120 = $41.67 profit, $91.67 back.

How do you convert American odds to implied probability?

Implied probability is the win chance the price assumes. For minus odds, divide |odds| by (|odds| + 100). For plus odds, divide 100 by (odds + 100). So -200 is 200 ÷ 300 = 66.67% and +150 is 100 ÷ 250 = 40%.

Odds Formula Implied probability Decimal odds
-300 300 ÷ 400 75.00% 1.333
-200 200 ÷ 300 66.67% 1.500
-150 150 ÷ 250 60.00% 1.667
-120 120 ÷ 220 54.55% 1.833
-110 110 ÷ 210 52.38% 1.909
+100 100 ÷ 200 50.00% 2.000
+150 100 ÷ 250 40.00% 2.500
+200 100 ÷ 300 33.33% 3.000
+300 100 ÷ 400 25.00% 4.000

Why does this matter? Because a bet only makes sense over time if you think the real chance is higher than the implied one. If you rate a team at 45% and the price is +150 (40%), the price is in your favor. If you rate them at 35%, it isn't. Most of us are bad at estimating that 45% honestly, which is part of why the book wins in the long run.

How do you convert American odds to decimal odds?

Decimal odds show the total return per $1, stake included. For plus odds, decimal = 1 + odds ÷ 100. For minus odds, decimal = 1 + 100 ÷ |odds|. +150 becomes 2.50 and -200 becomes 1.50. Implied probability is then simply 1 ÷ decimal.

Going the other way, from a probability back to American odds:

  • If the probability is 50% or more: odds = -100 × p ÷ (1 - p). 60% gives -150.
  • If it's under 50%: odds = +100 × (1 - p) ÷ p. 25% gives +300.

What is the vig, and how do you remove it?

The vig (or juice) is the sportsbook's built-in margin. You can see it by adding the implied probabilities of every outcome: anything above 100% is the margin. A standard spread priced -110 on both sides adds up to 52.38% + 52.38% = 104.76%.

That's also why bettors talk about needing to win 52.38% of -110 bets just to break even.

To get a "fair" (no-vig) probability, divide each side's implied probability by the total. Take a game priced -150 / +130:

Side Odds Implied No-vig probability
Favorite -150 60.00% 57.98%
Underdog +130 43.48% 42.02%
Total 103.48% 100.00%

The no-vig numbers are a rough estimate of what the market really thinks. Comparing them with your own estimate is more honest than comparing against the raw price.

Common mistakes when reading American odds

People mix up the signs most often. Big minus numbers like -500 don't mean a big payout; they mean a small one ($20 profit per $100) on a heavy favorite. People also forget that a favorite at -300 still loses one time in four if the 75% implied chance is accurate. And a parlay of several "safe" favorites multiplies those losing chances together.

A short checklist:

Check Why it matters
Sign: plus or minus? Tells you favorite vs. underdog
Implied probability Tells you what you're paying for
Sum of both sides Shows how much margin the book takes
Your own estimate Without it, the price tells you nothing about value

Where is sports betting legal in the US?

Sports betting is regulated state by state, and only operators licensed in your state can legally take your bets. Before using any sportsbook, check your state gaming regulator's list of approved operators. New Jersey's Division of Gaming Enforcement is one example of a regulator that publishes its licensees. Legal age is 21 in most states.

Responsible gambling

Odds math explains prices. It won't make betting profitable on its own, and the margin works against you on every bet. Set a budget you can afford to lose and stop when you reach it.

If gambling is causing problems for you or someone you care about, the National Problem Gambling Helpline from the National Council on Problem Gambling is free, confidential and open 24/7: call or text 1-800-MY-RESET (1-800-697-3738) or chat at ncpgambling.org.

Sources

All accessed October 6, 2026.

FAQ

What does +150 mean in betting?

+150 means a $100 bet wins $150 in profit if it hits, so you get $250 back in total. The implied probability is 100 ÷ 250 = 40%.

What does -200 mean in betting?

-200 means you have to bet $200 to win $100 in profit. The implied probability is 200 ÷ 300 = 66.67%.

How do you convert American odds to implied probability?

For minus odds, divide the number (without the sign) by itself plus 100. For plus odds, divide 100 by the odds plus 100. -150 is 150 ÷ 250 = 60%; +300 is 100 ÷ 400 = 25%.

Why do both sides of a bet add up to more than 100%?

That extra is the sportsbook's margin, often called the vig or juice. Two sides at -110 each imply 52.38%, which adds up to 104.76%.

Is +100 the same as even money?

Yes. +100 (and -100) means you win exactly what you stake, a 50% implied probability and 2.00 in decimal odds.

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