Philadelphia Union host Charlotte FC at Subaru Park on Saturday at 2:30 p.m. ET

Philadelphia Union host Charlotte FC at Subaru Park in Chester, Pennsylvania, on Saturday at 2:30 p.m. ET in an MLS Eastern Conference matchup. Charlotte FC sits fifth in the East with 46 points, while Philadelphia Union has 45 points in sixth. According to The Morning Call, both teams can clinch a playoff spot with a win. Philadelphia Union arrives off a 3-1 win over Chicago Fire FC, and Charlotte FC comes off a 3-1 loss to Columbus Crew.

When and where is Philadelphia Union vs. Charlotte FC?

Philadelphia Union will host Charlotte FC on Saturday at Subaru Park in Chester, Pennsylvania. CBS Sports lists the start time as 2:30 PM. The two Eastern Conference sides meet in MLS action.

The stakes are tangible. Charlotte FC holds 46 points in fifth place in the East, and Philadelphia Union holds 45 points in sixth. The Morning Call reports that either club can clinch a postseason berth with a win. That makes the points on offer matter for each side.

How have both teams played recently?

Philadelphia Union's recent results read 5-0 against San Diego FC, 4-3 against Sporting Kansas City, 4-2 against Orlando City SC, 2-1 against Real Salt Lake and 3-1 against Chicago Fire FC. Each was a win.

Charlotte FC's results are more mixed: a 3-3 draw with FC Cincinnati, a 2-1 win over D.C. United, a 1-0 loss to Chicago Fire FC, a 3-2 win over FC Dallas and a 3-1 loss to Columbus Crew in its latest outing.

What do the season stats say about each team?

The season numbers favor Philadelphia Union in attack on paper. Philadelphia Union has 59 total goals and 43 assists, with 46 goals against and a goal difference of 13.

Charlotte FC has 51 total goals and 39 assists, with 43 goals against and a goal difference of 8. Charlotte FC has allowed fewer goals than Philadelphia Union, but it has scored fewer as well, which frames the game as Philadelphia Union's attack against Charlotte FC's defense.

Who are the players to watch and who is available?

Milan Iloski has 18 goals for Philadelphia Union, and The Morning Call says he ranks third in MLS scoring. CBS Sports says Cavan Sullivan leads all teenagers with 21 total goal contributions.

Pep Biel has 12 goals for Charlotte FC, and CBS Sports lists Idan Toklomati as Charlotte's joint-top scorer with 12 goals. The Morning Call says Jesus Bueno is out for Philadelphia Union with a left hamstring strain. The Morning Call adds that Danley Jean Jacques is available after returning to training, and Agustin Anello returns from an adductor injury.

What do the win probabilities and head-to-head history say?

The no-margin probabilities in the data give Philadelphia Union 62%, Charlotte FC 18% and a draw 20%. CBS Sports reports that Opta gives Philadelphia Union a 54.3% win probability. They are estimates of the outcome, not predictions of the score.

CBS Sports reports that Charlotte FC defeated Philadelphia Union 2-1 in their previous meeting this April, and that Philadelphia Union won its last two home matches against Charlotte FC. Philadelphia Union has scored multiple goals in eight straight league games, according to The Morning Call.

The numbers at Scorely

Market-implied probability with the bookmaker margin (8.5%) removed, calculated by Scorely.

Data source: ESPN; calculation and table by Scorely.