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FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United on October 21 at TQL Stadium

FC Cincinnati (36 points) host D.C. United (33 points) on October 21 at 7 p.m. at TQL Stadium, with Apple TV listed to watch.

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CINvLOU 2017-05-31 - FC Cincinnati team photo (34925665271) (cropped) (file photo)
Photo: Hayden Schiff from Cincinnati, USA / Wikimedia Commons (CC BY 2.0). Cropped and watermarked by Scorely. · Wikimedia Commons · licence

FC Cincinnati sit 9th in the Eastern Conference with 36 points, while D.C. United are 13th with 33 points, and they meet on October 21 at TQL Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. According to FC Cincinnati, the rescheduled match kicks off Wednesday at 7 p.m. FC Cincinnati arrive after a 2-0 loss to Columbus Crew, and D.C. United come off a 4-1 defeat against Orlando City SC. The teams face each other again on October 24, in a return fixture with D.C. United at home.

What is at stake for FC Cincinnati at home?

FC Cincinnati host the match at TQL Stadium with 9 wins, 9 draws and 11 losses from 29 matches played. According to FC Cincinnati, the club maintains its playoff line position despite the recent losing streak, and head coach Pat Noonan has emphasized winning every remaining match.

Noonan cites finishing key moments as the main area for improvement. FC Cincinnati generated 24 shots against Columbus but failed to score, and Columbus scored on 2 of 3 shots, according to the club.

What does D.C. United need from the trip to Ohio?

D.C. United sit 13th with 33 points and a record of 7 wins, 12 draws and 10 losses from 29 matches played. According to FC Cincinnati, D.C. United are also competing for an Eastern Conference playoff spot, so the visit to TQL Stadium matters for their place in the standings.

Tai Baribo leads D.C. United with 16 goals in 23 matches, and D.C. United's Keisuke Kurokawa has 7 assists in 30 matches. D.C. United have scored 37 goals and conceded 51, with a goal difference of -14.

How do the recent results compare?

FC Cincinnati drew 2-2 with Houston Dynamo FC, lost 3-1 to CF Montréal, beat Atlanta United FC 3-1, lost 3-2 to New England Revolution and lost 2-0 to Columbus Crew. Across the season, FC Cincinnati have scored 60 goals and conceded 70, with 44 assists.

D.C. United drew 3-3 with Vancouver Whitecaps, lost 1-0 to SC Paderborn 07, lost 4-0 to Inter Miami CF, beat Red Bull New York 2-1 and lost 4-1 to Orlando City SC. D.C. United have 23 assists this season.

What time is the match and where can fans watch?

FC Cincinnati and D.C. United meet at 7 p.m. local time on October 21 at TQL Stadium, and the data lists Apple TV as the broadcast option. According to FC Cincinnati, the match was rescheduled and takes place Wednesday. The return fixture follows on October 24 at 19:30 local time, with D.C. United at home.

The no-margin probability in the data gives FC Cincinnati 55 percent, D.C. United 23 percent and a draw 22 percent. These figures only describe the estimated likelihood of each outcome.

The numbers at Scorely

Team Last 5
FC Cincinnati D 2-2 vs. Houston Dynamo FC, L 3-1 vs. CF Montréal, W 3-1 vs. Atlanta United FC, L 3-2 vs. New England Revolution, L 2-0 vs. Columbus Crew
D.C. United D 3-3 vs. Vancouver Whitecaps, L 1-0 vs. SC Paderborn 07, L 4-0 vs. Inter Miami CF, W 2-1 vs. Red Bull New York, L 4-1 vs. Orlando City SC
Team Record
FC Cincinnati 9-9-11
D.C. United 7-12-10
No-vig probability %
FC Cincinnati (Home) 55 %
Draw 22 %
D.C. United (Away) 23 %

Market-implied probability with the bookmaker margin (8.3%) removed, calculated by Scorely.

Pos Team P GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 30 +41 67
2 Inter Miami CF 30 +22 55
3 New England Revolution 30 +8 52
4 Chicago Fire FC 30 +8 48
9 FC Cincinnati 29 -10 36
13 D.C. United 29 -14 33
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 30 +32 55
2 St. Louis CITY SC 30 +15 51

Data source: ESPN; calculation and table by Scorely.

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Produced with automated assistance from ESPN data and the sources cited, with figures and claims checked before publication. Methodology

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