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Heerenveen v Excelsior
EredivisieFri 16 Oct · 19:00
Who wins?
Heerenveen
56%
Draw
23%
Excelsior
21%
Expected goals
Over 3.5: 46% · Under 3.5: 54%
Both teams to score: 65%
Market probability with the margin removed (not odds and not betting advice). 18+
Heerenveen host Excelsior on Friday, 16 October 2026 at 19:00 (UK time) at Abe Lenstra Stadion in the Eredivisie.
Heerenveen sit 10th on 9 points.
Excelsior sit 9th on 11 points.
Heerenveen have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches.
Excelsior have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches.
Last 5 meetings: Heerenveen won 2, Excelsior won 2, 1 drawn.
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Kick-off
- Friday, 16 October 2026, 19:00 (UK time)
- Venue
- Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
Match odds
Match result (1X2)
Heerenveen
2/3
56%
Draw
3/1
23%
Excelsior
17/5
21%
Double chance
1X · Heerenveen or draw
2/11
78%
12 · Heerenveen or Excelsior
3/14
77%
X2 · Draw or Excelsior
20/19
45%
First team to score
Heerenveen
1/2
58%
No goal
16/1
5%
Excelsior
23/17
37%
To win by 2+ goals
Heerenveen
28/17
Excelsior
7/1
To win both halves
Heerenveen
17/5
Excelsior
15/1
To win from behind
Heerenveen
11/2
Excelsior
12/1
Total goals
Over 3.5
1/1
46%
Under 3.5
9/13
54%
Exact total goals
| 0 | 22/1 | 4% |
| 1 | 13/2 | 12% |
| 2 | 37/10 | 18% |
| 3 | 3/1 | 22% |
| 4 | 37/10 | 18% |
| 5 | 11/2 | 13% |
| 6+ | 11/2 | 13% |
Team total goals · Heerenveen
Over 1.5
3/7
63%
Under 1.5
17/12
37%
Team total goals · Heerenveen
Over 2.5
25/18
38%
Under 2.5
4/9
62%
Team total goals · Heerenveen
Over 3.5
46/13
20%
Under 3.5
1/8
80%
Team total goals · Heerenveen
Over 4.5
73/10
11%
Under 4.5
1/1
89%
Team total goals · Heerenveen
Over 0.5
1/16
85%
Under 0.5
51/10
15%
Team total goals · Excelsior
Over 1.5
17/13
39%
Under 1.5
7/15
61%
Team total goals · Excelsior
Over 2.5
49/12
18%
Under 2.5
1/11
82%
Team total goals · Excelsior
Over 0.5
3/11
71%
Under 0.5
21/10
29%
Exact team goals · Heerenveen
| 0 | 6/1 | 11% |
| 1 | 28/13 | 25% |
| 2 | 7/4 | 28% |
| 3 | 29/10 | 20% |
| 4+ | 19/5 | 16% |
Exact team goals · Excelsior
| 0 | 2/1 | 26% |
| 1 | 6/5 | 36% |
| 2 | 23/10 | 24% |
| 3 | 13/2 | 10% |
| 4+ | 17/1 | 4% |
Both teams to score
Yes
2/5
65%
No
28/17
35%
Both teams to score: 1st half
Yes
19/10
30%
No
4/17
70%
Both teams to score: 2nd half
Yes
5/4
38%
No
2/5
62%
Clean sheet · Heerenveen
Yes
23/10
28%
No
5/19
72%
Clean sheet · Excelsior
Yes
11/2
14%
No
1/16
86%
Correct score
| 2-1 | 7/1 | 10% |
| 1-1 | 8/1 | 8% |
| 1-0 | 10/1 | 7% |
| 2-0 | 10/1 | 7% |
| 2-2 | 10/1 | 7% |
| 3-1 | 11/1 | 6% |
| 1-2 | 13/1 | 5% |
| 3-0 | 14/1 | 5% |
| 3-2 | 15/1 | 5% |
| 0-1 | 18/1 | 4% |
| 0-0 | 22/1 | 3% |
| 2-3 | 25/1 | 3% |
| 0-2 | 30/1 | 2% |
| 1-3 | 30/1 | 2% |
| 3-3 | 30/1 | 2% |
| 0-3 | 70/1 | 1% |
1st half result
Heerenveen
11/10
42%
Draw
3/2
35%
Excelsior
56/19
22%
2nd half result
Heerenveen
18/19
45%
Draw
7/4
32%
Excelsior
11/4
23%
1st half goals
Over 1.5
1/1
45%
Under 1.5
2/3
55%
1st half goals
Over 2.5
3/1
23%
Under 2.5
2/11
77%
1st half goals
Over 3.5
71/10
11%
Under 3.5
1/1
89%
1st half goals
Over 0.5
1/5
76%
Under 0.5
30/11
24%
To score in the 1st half · Heerenveen
Yes
1/2
61%
No
13/10
39%
To score in the 1st half · Excelsior
Yes
1/1
45%
No
11/17
55%
To score in the 2nd half · Heerenveen
Yes
1/3
68%
No
24/13
32%
To score in the 2nd half · Excelsior
Yes
14/19
52%
No
10/11
48%
DraftKings odds published by ESPN. No-margin probability: proportional normalisation of the market. Odds are indicative and move until kick-off. 18+ only.
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Betting calculatorsConvert odds and work out implied probability, accumulators and arbs in seconds.Calculate →Last 5 matches
Heerenveen
Excelsior
Head-to-head record
2
Heerenveen
1
Draws
2
Excelsior
Last meetings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 20 | WWWW |
| 2 |  PSV | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +16 | 19 | WWLW |
| 3 |  AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 | WDWL |
| 4 |  FC Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 17 | DWWWD |
| 5 |  Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 | 15 | LWWDD |
| 6 |  FC Groningen | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 | DDWW |
| 7 |  Fortuna | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 14 | WLWD |
| 8 |  Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 11 | DDDD |
| 9 |  Excelsior | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 | WDLDL |
| 10 |  Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | DLDWL |
| 11 |  NEC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 | LDLDD |
| 12 |  Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 8 | DWDW |
| 13 |  FC Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 8 | DWLW |
| 14 |  Sparta | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 | DLLD |
| 15 |  Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 | DLDLD |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -15 | 4 | DLLL |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 | LLDD |
| 18 |  Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -16 | 2 | LDLLL |
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