Predictions

Liga Portugal predictions this week

4 Liga Portugal matches in the next 7 days with published odds. Probabilities, never certainties: prices move until kick-off.

Monday, 19 October 2026

Liga Portugal20:15

Braga vs Gil Vicente

Braga 5/960%
Draw 37/1324%
Gil Vicente 19/416%

Market favourite: Braga (60%) · Bookmaker margin 7.5% · ESPN

Friday, 23 October 2026

Liga Portugal20:45

Vitória de Guimaraes vs Maritimo

Vitória 8/1561%
Draw 3/123%
Maritimo 19/416%

Market favourite: Vitória de Guimaraes (61%) · Bookmaker margin 7.8% · ESPN

Saturday, 24 October 2026

Liga Portugal15:30

Estrela vs Casa Pia

Estrela 11/1756%
Draw 27/1025%
Casa Pia 39/1019%

Market favourite: Estrela (56%) · Bookmaker margin 8.0% · ESPN

Liga Portugal18:00

Alverca vs Arouca

Alverca 11/1044%
Draw 39/1930%
Arouca 13/526%

Market favourite: Alverca (44%) · Bookmaker margin 8.2% · ESPN

How these predictions are worked out

We start from the published 1X2 (or moneyline) price for each game, with the source shown on every card. The implied probability of decimal odds is 1 / odds.

Bookmakers build a margin into those probabilities, so they add up to more than 100%. We remove it by dividing each probability by the sum of all outcomes (proportional normalisation). Whatever sits above 100% is the bookmaker margin we show.

The "market favourite" is the outcome with the highest probability. It is not betting advice: it reflects what the odds say right now, and they move until kick-off.

The community vote comes from registered users picking an outcome on the match page. With no votes or picks, nothing is shown.

18+ only. Odds and probabilities are indicative.