AC Milan v Bologna
Who wins?
Milan
58%
Draw
24%
Bologna
18%
Expected goals
Over 2.5: 52% · Under 2.5: 48%
Both teams to score: 52%
Market probability with the margin removed (not odds and not betting advice). 18+
AC Milan host Bologna on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 17:30 (UK time) at San Siro in Serie A.
AC Milan sit 4th on 15 points.
Bologna sit 15th on 5 points.
AC Milan have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches.
Bologna have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches.
Last 5 meetings: AC Milan won 3, Bologna won 2, 0 drawn.
- Competition
- Serie A
- Kick-off
- Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 17:30 (UK time)
- Venue
- San Siro, Milano
Odds movement
Opening → NowMilan
4/7 → 4/7
=
Draw
37/13 → 29/10
+1.3%
Bologna
39/10 → 4/1
+2.0%
Over 2.5: 10/13 → 4/5 +1.7% · Under 2.5: 10/11 → 18/19 +2.1%
ESPN opening and current prices published by ESPN. 18+
Odds comparison
Match result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | 1 · Milan | X · Draw | 2 · Bologna | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3/5 | 14/5 | 9/2 | 7.0% |
Double chance
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1/7 | 1/4 | 13/10 | 11.2% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1/4 | 3/1 | 5.0% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 4/5 | 1/1 | 5.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 4/5 | 18/19 | 6.8% |
Asian handicap
| Bookmaker | Milan 0 | Bologna 0 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2/9 | 41/13 | 6.1% |
Asian handicap
| Bookmaker | Milan +0.25 | Bologna -0.25 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2/11 | 24/13 | 19.8% |
Indicative odds that move until kick-off. The best price in each column is highlighted. Margin = the bookmaker's cut (sum of implied probabilities − 100%). 18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Licensed bookmakers in this edition: Bet365 (Gambling Commission · 055148-R-331498-002)
Market probability
First team to score
AC Milan
60%
No goal
8%
Bologna
32%
Exact total goals
| 0 | 7% |
| 1 | 17% |
| 2 | 24% |
| 3 | 22% |
| 4 | 16% |
| 5 | 9% |
| 6+ | 7% |
Team total goals · AC Milan
Over 1.5
55%
Under 1.5
45%
Team total goals · AC Milan
Over 2.5
30%
Under 2.5
70%
Team total goals · AC Milan
Over 3.5
15%
Under 3.5
85%
Team total goals · AC Milan
Over 0.5
82%
Under 0.5
18%
Team total goals · Bologna
Over 1.5
26%
Under 1.5
74%
Team total goals · Bologna
Over 2.5
11%
Under 2.5
90%
Team total goals · Bologna
Over 0.5
59%
Under 0.5
41%
Exact team goals · AC Milan
| 0 | 15% |
| 1 | 29% |
| 2 | 28% |
| 3 | 17% |
| 4+ | 12% |
Exact team goals · Bologna
| 0 | 38% |
| 1 | 37% |
| 2 | 18% |
| 3 | 6% |
| 4+ | 2% |
Both teams to score: 1st half
Yes
22%
No
78%
Both teams to score: 2nd half
Yes
29%
No
71%
Clean sheet · AC Milan
Yes
41%
No
59%
Clean sheet · Bologna
Yes
17%
No
83%
Correct score
| 1-0 | 11% |
| 2-0 | 10% |
| 1-1 | 10% |
| 2-1 | 10% |
| 3-0 | 7% |
| 3-1 | 6% |
| 0-0 | 6% |
| 0-1 | 6% |
| 1-2 | 5% |
| 2-2 | 5% |
| 3-2 | 3% |
| 0-2 | 3% |
| 2-3 | 2% |
| 1-3 | 2% |
| 3-3 | 1% |
| 0-3 | 1% |
1st half result
AC Milan
43%
Draw
40%
Bologna
18%
2nd half result
AC Milan
46%
Draw
36%
Bologna
19%
1st half goals
Over 1.5
35%
Under 1.5
65%
1st half goals
Over 2.5
15%
Under 2.5
85%
1st half goals
Over 0.5
69%
Under 0.5
31%
To score in the 1st half · AC Milan
Yes
55%
No
45%
To score in the 1st half · Bologna
Yes
35%
No
65%
To score in the 2nd half · AC Milan
Yes
64%
No
36%
To score in the 2nd half · Bologna
Yes
42%
No
58%
Probability estimated from the market, margin removed. Not odds and not an invitation to bet. Market data via ESPN. 18+
Last 5 matches
AC Milan
Bologna
Head-to-head record
3
Milan
0
Draws
2
Bologna
Last meetings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 19 | WWDWW | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 19 | WDWWW | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 17 | WWDDW | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 | LWDWW | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 | WWLDW | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 | WDWLW | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 13 | WWWDL | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 | DLWDL | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 | LWDWL | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 | WLDWW | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 | LLLWL | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 9 | LWLLW | |
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 | DWLDL | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 | DLWLW | |
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 | DLDWL | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 | LLLLL | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 | LDLWL | |
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 | LWDLL | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 | DLWLL | |
| 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 3 | LLLLW |
Statistical prediction
API-Football
Advice: Double chance : AC Milan or draw
Community vote
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FAQ
What time does AC Milan v Bologna start?
AC Milan v Bologna (Serie A) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October at 17:30 (UK time) at San Siro.
Where are AC Milan and Bologna in the table?
AC Milan are 4th on 15 points and Bologna 15th on 5.
Who is the favourite in AC Milan v Bologna?
The market favourite is AC Milan. Probability without the bookmaker margin: AC Milan 58 %, the draw 23 % and Bologna 18 %. It is indicative and moves until the start.
What is the head-to-head record between AC Milan and Bologna?
In their last 5 meetings: AC Milan won 3, Bologna won 2 and 0 ended level.
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