Fiorentina v Atalanta
Serie AThu 29 Oct · 19:45
Who wins?
Fiorentina
42%
Draw
27%
Atalanta
32%
Expected goals
Over 2.5: 55% · Under 2.5: 45%
Both teams to score: 60%
Market probability with the margin removed (not odds and not betting advice). 18+
Fiorentina host Atalanta on Thursday, 29 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time) at Stadio Artemio Franchi in Serie A.
Fiorentina sit 18th on 4 points.
Atalanta sit 11th on 9 points.
Fiorentina have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches.
Atalanta have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches.
Last 5 meetings: Fiorentina won 2, Atalanta won 2, 1 drawn.
- Competition
- Serie A
- Kick-off
- Thursday, 29 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
- Venue
- Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze
Odds movement
Opening → NowFiorentina
6/5 → 6/5
=
Draw
12/5 → 12/5
=
Atalanta
9/5 → 19/10
+3.6%
Over 2.5: 2/3 → 9/13 +1.2% · Under 2.5: 20/19 → 11/10 +2.4%
ESPN opening and current prices published by ESPN. 18+
Odds comparison
Match result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | 1 · Fiorentina | X · Draw | 2 · Atalanta | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 13/10 | 12/5 | 2/1 | 6.2% |
Double chance
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 4/11 | 3/10 | 4/7 | 14.1% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2/9 | 10/3 | 5.1% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 8/11 | 11/10 | 5.4% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 4/7 | 5/4 | 8.1% |
Asian handicap
| Bookmaker | Fiorentina 0 | Atalanta 0 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 11/17 | 6/5 | 6.1% |
Asian handicap
| Bookmaker | Fiorentina +0.25 | Atalanta -0.25 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 9/19 | 11/13 | 21.6% |
Indicative odds that move until kick-off. The best price in each column is highlighted. Margin = the bookmaker's cut (sum of implied probabilities − 100%). 18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Licensed bookmakers in this edition: Bet365 (Gambling Commission · 055148-R-331498-002)
Market probability
First team to score
Fiorentina
49%
No goal
7%
Atalanta
44%
Exact total goals
| 0 | 6% |
| 1 | 16% |
| 2 | 22% |
| 3 | 22% |
| 4 | 16% |
| 5 | 10% |
| 6+ | 8% |
Team total goals · Atalanta
Over 1.5
40%
Under 1.5
60%
Team total goals · Atalanta
Over 2.5
18%
Under 2.5
82%
Team total goals · Atalanta
Over 0.5
72%
Under 0.5
28%
Team total goals · Fiorentina
Over 1.5
47%
Under 1.5
53%
Team total goals · Fiorentina
Over 2.5
23%
Under 2.5
77%
Team total goals · Fiorentina
Over 3.5
11%
Under 3.5
89%
Team total goals · Fiorentina
Over 0.5
78%
Under 0.5
22%
Exact team goals · Fiorentina
| 0 | 19% |
| 1 | 33% |
| 2 | 27% |
| 3 | 14% |
| 4+ | 7% |
Exact team goals · Atalanta
| 0 | 25% |
| 1 | 35% |
| 2 | 24% |
| 3 | 11% |
| 4+ | 5% |
Both teams to score: 1st half
Yes
25%
No
75%
Both teams to score: 2nd half
Yes
34%
No
66%
Clean sheet · Atalanta
Yes
21%
No
79%
Clean sheet · Fiorentina
Yes
27%
No
73%
Correct score
| 1-1 | 11% |
| 2-1 | 9% |
| 1-0 | 8% |
| 1-2 | 7% |
| 0-1 | 7% |
| 2-2 | 7% |
| 2-0 | 6% |
| 0-0 | 5% |
| 0-2 | 5% |
| 3-1 | 5% |
| 3-2 | 4% |
| 3-0 | 3% |
| 1-3 | 3% |
| 2-3 | 3% |
| 0-3 | 2% |
| 3-3 | 2% |
1st half result
Fiorentina
32%
Draw
40%
Atalanta
28%
2nd half result
Fiorentina
35%
Draw
36%
Atalanta
30%
1st half goals
Over 1.5
38%
Under 1.5
63%
1st half goals
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
84%
1st half goals
Over 3.5
8%
Under 3.5
92%
1st half goals
Over 0.5
71%
Under 0.5
29%
To score in the 1st half · Atalanta
Yes
46%
No
54%
To score in the 1st half · Fiorentina
Yes
50%
No
50%
To score in the 2nd half · Atalanta
Yes
53%
No
47%
To score in the 2nd half · Fiorentina
Yes
58%
No
42%
Probability estimated from the market, margin removed. Not odds and not an invitation to bet. Market data via ESPN. 18+
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Betting calculatorsConvert odds and work out implied probability, accumulators and arbs in seconds.Calculate →Last 5 matches
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Head-to-head record
2
Fiorentina
1
Draws
2
Atalanta
Last meetings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter Milan | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 19 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Lazio | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 17 | WWDDW |
| 4 |  Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 | DDWDW |
| 5 |  Como | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 | WWLDW |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 | WDWLW |
| 7 |  Cagliari | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 13 | WWWDL |
| 8 |  Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 | DLWDL |
| 9 |  Napoli | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 | LWDWL |
| 10 |  Torino | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 | WLDWW |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 | LLWWL |
| 12 |  Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 9 | LWLLW |
| 13 |  Sassuolo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 | DWLDL |
| 14 |  Monza | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 15 |  Bologna | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 | DLDWL |
| 16 |  Udinese | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 17 |  Genoa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 | LDLWL |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 | WDWLL |
| 19 |  Parma | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 | DLWLL |
| 20 |  Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 3 | LLLLW |
Statistical prediction
API-Football
Advice: Double chance : draw or Atalanta
Community vote
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FAQ
What time does Fiorentina v Atalanta start?
Fiorentina v Atalanta (Serie A) kicks off on Thursday 29 October at 19:45 (UK time) at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
Where are Fiorentina and Atalanta in the table?
Fiorentina are 18th on 4 points and Atalanta 11th on 9.
Who is the favourite in Fiorentina v Atalanta?
The market favourite is Fiorentina. Probability without the bookmaker margin: Fiorentina 42 %, the draw 27 % and Atalanta 32 %. It is indicative and moves until the start.
What is the head-to-head record between Fiorentina and Atalanta?
In their last 5 meetings: Fiorentina won 2, Atalanta won 2 and 1 ended in a draw.
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