Championship
Premiership
Champions League
Europa League
LaLigaAston Villa v Manchester City
Premier LeagueSat 24 Oct · 12:30
Who wins?
Aston Villa
22%
Draw
23%
Man City
55%
Expected goals
Over 3.5: 40% · Under 3.5: 60%
Both teams to score: 61%
Market probability with the margin removed (not odds and not betting advice). 18+
Aston Villa host Manchester City on Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 12:30 (UK time) at Villa Park in the Premier League.
Aston Villa sit 16th on 5 points.
Manchester City sit 1st on 18 points.
Aston Villa have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches.
Manchester City have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches.
Last 5 meetings: Aston Villa won 3, Manchester City won 2, 0 drawn.
- Competition
- Premier League
- Kick-off
- Saturday, 24 October 2026, 12:30 (UK time)
- Venue
- Villa Park, Birmingham
Preview in numbers
- United Kingdom time: 12:30 (UK time), Saturday 24 October 2026.
- Aston Villa come in on a run of 3 straight wins.
- Manchester City come in on a run of 4 straight wins.
- Manchester City sit 1st on 18 points and Aston Villa 16th on 5: 13 points apart.
- Their last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Manchester City 1-2 Aston Villa.
- The market gives Manchester City a 55% chance of winning (draw: 23%), margin removed.
Data: ESPN · votes and picks from Scorely users
Odds movement
Opening → NowAston Villa
7/2 → 17/5
−2.2%
Draw
31/10 → 31/10
=
Man City
11/17 → 5/7
+4.2%
Over 3.5: 13/10 → 23/17 +2.2% · Under 3.5: 5/9 → 4/7 +0.6%
ESPN opening and current prices published by ESPN. 18+
Odds comparison
Match result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | 1 · Aston Villa | X · Draw | 2 · Man City | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 7/2 | 14/5 | 7/10 | 7.4% |
Double chance
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 11/10 | 1/4 | 2/11 | 12.4% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1/6 | 4/1 | 5.5% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 4/7 | 11/8 | 5.7% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 8/15 | 11/8 | 7.4% |
Asian handicap
| Bookmaker | Aston Villa 0 | Man City 0 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 27/11 | 3/10 | 5.9% |
Asian handicap
| Bookmaker | Aston Villa +0.25 | Man City -0.25 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3/2 | 1/4 | 20.0% |
Indicative odds that move until kick-off. The best price in each column is highlighted. Margin = the bookmaker's cut (sum of implied probabilities − 100%). 18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Licensed bookmakers in this edition: Bet365 (Gambling Commission · 055148-R-331498-002)
Market probability
First team to score
Aston Villa
35%
No goal
6%
Manchester City
59%
Exact total goals
| 0 | 5% |
| 1 | 14% |
| 2 | 20% |
| 3 | 21% |
| 4 | 18% |
| 5 | 11% |
| 6+ | 10% |
Team total goals · Aston Villa
Over 1.5
35%
Under 1.5
65%
Team total goals · Aston Villa
Over 2.5
15%
Under 2.5
85%
Team total goals · Aston Villa
Over 0.5
68%
Under 0.5
33%
Team total goals · Manchester City
Over 1.5
59%
Under 1.5
41%
Team total goals · Manchester City
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
Team total goals · Manchester City
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
Team total goals · Manchester City
Over 4.5
9%
Under 4.5
91%
Team total goals · Manchester City
Over 0.5
84%
Under 0.5
17%
Exact team goals · Aston Villa
| 0 | 30% |
| 1 | 36% |
| 2 | 22% |
| 3 | 9% |
| 4+ | 4% |
Exact team goals · Manchester City
| 0 | 13% |
| 1 | 27% |
| 2 | 28% |
| 3 | 18% |
| 4+ | 14% |
Both teams to score: 1st half
Yes
25%
No
75%
Both teams to score: 2nd half
Yes
33%
No
67%
Clean sheet · Aston Villa
Yes
15%
No
85%
Clean sheet · Manchester City
Yes
32%
No
68%
Correct score
| 1-2 | 10% |
| 1-1 | 10% |
| 0-1 | 8% |
| 0-2 | 8% |
| 1-3 | 6% |
| 2-2 | 6% |
| 2-1 | 6% |
| 0-3 | 5% |
| 1-0 | 5% |
| 2-3 | 4% |
| 0-0 | 4% |
| 2-0 | 3% |
| 3-2 | 3% |
| 3-1 | 2% |
| 3-3 | 2% |
| 3-0 | 1% |
1st half result
Aston Villa
20%
Draw
37%
Manchester City
43%
2nd half result
Aston Villa
22%
Draw
33%
Manchester City
46%
1st half goals
Over 1.5
42%
Under 1.5
58%
1st half goals
Over 2.5
19%
Under 2.5
81%
1st half goals
Over 3.5
9%
Under 3.5
91%
1st half goals
Over 0.5
74%
Under 0.5
26%
To score in the 1st half · Aston Villa
Yes
41%
No
59%
To score in the 1st half · Manchester City
Yes
59%
No
41%
To score in the 2nd half · Aston Villa
Yes
48%
No
52%
To score in the 2nd half · Manchester City
Yes
66%
No
34%
Probability estimated from the market, margin removed. Not odds and not an invitation to bet. Market data via ESPN. 18+
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Betting calculatorsConvert odds and work out implied probability, accumulators and arbs in seconds.Calculate →Last 5 matches
Aston Villa
Manchester City
Head-to-head record
3
Aston Villa
0
Draws
2
Man City
Last meetings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Man City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 18 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 | WWLW |
| 3 |  Brighton | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 | DDWD |
| 5 |  Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +3 | 10 | DDWDL |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 | LDLWW |
| 7 |  Leeds | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 | DWDL |
| 8 |  Hull | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 | DDLD |
| 9 |  Liverpool | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | WDWL |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 | LWLW |
| 11 |  Newcastle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 | DLWL |
| 12 |  C Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 | WLDW |
| 13 |  Man United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | DLDD |
| 14 |  Coventry | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 6 | LLWW |
| 15 |  Nottm Forest | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 | DWLL |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 | WWWDW |
| 17 |  Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 4 | DLLL |
| 18 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 | DDLL |
| 19 |  Spurs | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 | DDLD |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 2 | LDDL |
Statistical prediction
API-Football
Advice: Winner : Manchester City
Community vote
Who wins? Vote and earn points.
0 votes
FAQ
What time does Aston Villa v Manchester City start?
Aston Villa v Manchester City (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October at 12:30 (UK time) at Villa Park.
Where are Aston Villa and Manchester City in the table?
Aston Villa are 16th on 5 points and Manchester City 1st on 18.
Who is the favourite in Aston Villa v Manchester City?
The market favourite is Manchester City. Probability without the bookmaker margin: Aston Villa 22 %, the draw 23 % and Manchester City 55 %. It is indicative and moves until the start.
What is the head-to-head record between Aston Villa and Manchester City?
In their last 5 meetings: Aston Villa won 3, Manchester City won 2 and 0 ended level.
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